Signals
Real-time spread evaluations: Predict's SVI probability vs. Polymarket's order book.
Every 15s the bot prices each matched (oracle, strike) pair on both venues and records the disagreement here. Each row is a decision the bot made: filtered (didn't qualify), sub-threshold (spread too small), executed (placed a trade), or failed (tried to execute but the venue rejected). It's the strategy's audit trail.
- The scatter below plots Polymarket probability (x) vs Predict probability (y). Points on the y=x line are venues in agreement; points off the line are where the spread lives.
- Use the tabs top-right to filter to executed-only when checking what actually fired.
- Failed rows carry a
filter_reasonlikepoly_thin_bookorpoly_maker_not_allowed— useful for debugging mainnet config.
Calibration scatter — Predict vs Polymarket probability
On the y=x line, both venues agree. Points off the line are where we trade. Color = action (green executed, gray filtered).
No signals yet — chart populates as the bot evaluates spreads.
Signal mix
No signals yet.
Signals — last 200
Showing all 0
| Time | Oracle | Strike | Predict↑ | Predict IV | Poly Yes | Poly IV | Spread | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No signals match this filter. | ||||||||